According to the General
Administration of Customs, China 's
export value in Aug. this year increased by 2.7% year on year. The figure was
up slightly from 1% in July, but it was still lower than expectation. Besides,
due to the weaker demand from foreign customers, especially the ones from Europe , the situation may continue in the next few months
this year.
As for pesticide, the export
situation is a little better. China 's
pesticide export volume and value ran up in the first half of 2012. The total
pesticide export volume and value in this period realized growth rates of 11%
and 15% over H1 2011, reaching 473,200 tonnes and USD1.48 billion respectively
(Crop Protection China News, 1217). However, the total export value in July
2012 reached USD176.94 billion, down 1.8% over June 2012. Some domestic
analysts predicted that the export data in Aug. will not be optimistic for the
export value in Aug. may continue to face a negative growth.
The growth rate of China 's export value may be lower than the
target of 10% set for this year, which will pose challenge to China 's
economy. Many companies expect the government to launch policies such as
increasing export rebate to promote export.
Export rebate, a general and
widely used financial strategy to encourage or adjust product export, has
played an important role in the past years.
Based on the past experience, it
is possible for the government to increase export rebate. Since 2008, Chinese
government has raised the export rebate for seven times to promote export,
including raising the export rebate for some pesticides in 2008 and 2009.
However, for pesticides, the
government does not always raise export rebate. In fact, the government reduces
export rebate for pesticide more than increasing export rebate in recent years.
On 15 Sept., 2006, China abolished
the export rebate of 25 pesticides and intermediates.
On 1 Aug., 2008, China further
reduced and abolished the export rebate of over 20 pesticides.
In late 2008, China raised
the export rebate of some pesticides, aiming to boost pesticide export under
the global economic depression.
In 2009, China raised
the export rebate for some pesticides as the industry was still hit hard by the
weak export.
On 15 July, 2010, China abolished export rebate again for some
pesticides, including the most important pesticide in China ,
glyphosate (technical).
Although some pesticides
companies very look forward to the increase of export rebate, CCM thinks that
there is no need for the government to do so.
First, with the increase of
export rebate, domestic producers may reduce the export price, and their
competitiveness in the market will be strengthened, but not too much. The
global demand of pesticide more relies on the occurrence of the pests and
disease and the price of crops, but is impacted less by the slight change of
the pesticide price.
Second, China 's
pesticide price is very low at present and it has brought about anti-dumping
accusation in overseas markets. Raising export rebate will only worsen trade
friction.
Third, lower export rebate will
pose pressure on domestic pesticide industry in the short term, but it is a
piece of good news for the healthy development of domestic pesticide industry
in the long term. Low industry threshold and lack of government administration
had led to severe overcapacity and irrational market competition of pesticide
in China ,
resulting in extremely low price and slim profit. As China aims to accelerate the
industry integration and then forms a relatively rational market, maintaining
the current export rebate or even reducing it is expected to be an inevitable
measure.
According to the export rebate
policies released by the government in recent years, most of the products that
with export rebate reduced or abolished are high-energy consuming, high
pollution or resource-intensive products. With export rebate reduced or
abolished, some companies with bad
performance are expected to exit pesticide business, thus easing the serious
overcapacity problem.
Although the export rebate raise
for pesticides is not recommended, CCM thinks the government should adjust the
export rebate policy of pesticide technical and pesticide formulation. At
present, the export rebates for most pesticide technical is 9% and for
pesticide formulation is 5%, which is unreasonable.
Domestic enterprises still more
act as pesticide technical suppliers in the chain of international pesticide
trade and the profit is slim. Meanwhile, the pollution caused by producing
pesticide technical is very serious in China , compared with the production
of pesticide formulation.
The government should adjust the
export rebate policy of pesticide technical and pesticide formulation to better
facilitate its own formulation brand products to enter international terminal
market.
In 2011, China 's
pesticide formulation export volume exceeded the export volume of pesticides
technical for the first time, a remarkable achievement for domestic pesticide
industry. However, China 's
pesticide formulation still stays in a poor status in global market, and more
policies are needed to promote it.
Source: Crop Protection China News 1218
Content
of Crop Protection China News 1218:
Should China
increase pesticide export rebate?
Selling highly toxic pesticide now faces arrest
Huayang Group's withdraw from Huayang Technology finally
Seed coating agent eyes bright prospect
Needs special agents for unmanned helicopter urgently in China
Some pesticide techncials firstly registered by domestic
companies
Crop Protection China News, a monthly
publication issued by CCM on 15th&31th of every month, offers timely update and
close follow-up of China ’s
Crop Protection industry dynamics,
analyzes market data and finds out factors influencing market development
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