Showing posts with label oversupply. Show all posts
Showing posts with label oversupply. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 7, 2014

Cooperation between seed enterprises and research institutes: undesirable


In 2011 the State Council of the People's Republic of China issued the Suggestions for Accelerating Development of Modern Crop Seed Industry (the Suggestions), which clearly laid emphasis on "leading and actively mobilizing research institutes and colleges to gradually withdraw from commercialized breeding, and to establish the dominant status of technological innovation in seed enterprises". However, the results have been unsatisfactory.

Since the birth of China's seed industry, the breeding, production and promotion of seeds have been totally out of joint in China. In order to establish the dominant status of technological innovation in seed enterprises, commercialized breeding should be gradually removed from research institutes. Since the issuance of the Suggestions two years ago, there have been huge difficulties in the reform of agricultural research systems, along with strong resistance and few contributions.

On the one hand, relevant departments have not attempted to promote reform and to rationally allocate resources to remove commercialized breeding from research institutes from the macro policy perspective; instead they advocate the collaboration between seed enterprises and institutes, or the R&D alliance between the two sides. On the other hand, officials and scholars conduct investigations on the collaboration between seed enterprises and institutes, and the cooperation is also a hot topic on magazines. Authoritative experts observe that "the reform goes from bad to worse under the guidance of misconception".

It is feasible for those seed enterprises that are qualified for the research system "breeding, production and promotion" to voluntarily cooperate with institutes on seed researches, to buy varieties from the latter, or to temporarily transfer researchers from the latter.

However, the cooperation is not what the development of a seed enterprise relies on. To place the cooperation in a dual-track system with double benefits means that research institutes sell their varieties to enterprises, and that seed enterprises buy varieties from institutes. But the contrasting rules and intentions of the two sides cause seed enterprises to give up technological innovation, and to become a permanent "seed supermarket" instead.

Disagreement on time for cooperation

Scientific research is an incremental process, and the breeding of a variety takes 7-8 years, along with unpredictability, while seed enterprises hope to get the results as soon as possible, usually without a clear understanding of the time required for breeding. As a result, they may quit the cooperation at any time when getting no positive short-term outcome.

Conflicting cooperation purposes

For research institutes, the breeding of varieties is aimed at publications and academic titles, while product conversion is often considered secondary. Scientific evaluation of a newly developed variety usually takes five years, but seed enterprises buy existing varieties for the purpose of instant profits. Thus, both sides have conflicting aims and conflicting purposes for entering into a cooperation.

Enterprises signs contracts with varying ranks of research units, such as institutes, chambers, research groups, and even individuals, which hints at the inefficiency of legally binding agreements. Therefore, the alteration or the adjustment of leaders and research of the institute also influences the cooperation. Furthermore, cooperation between seed enterprises and research institutes is all about unconstrained contracts and purchases. Because of that, a long-term stable partnership cannot get established between both sides. Seed enterprises expect instant success, and they may break up the partnership if they cannot obtain expected profits.

Disagreement on variety rights

Seed enterprises pay institutes for R&D on seeds in the hope of obtaining exclusive rights on a seed variety and to obtain exclusive rights to explore the market, which help the company elevate its reputation. However, institutes are not willing to make their resources and breeding information open to society. Institutes are willing to transfer variety distribution rights to multiple enterprises in order to expand the promotion of the seed variety, and to possibly increase their eligibility for State Science and Technology Prizes and other awards. Thus, cooperations between seed enterprises and research institutes prioritise the institute's interests over the seed enterprises' interests, which creates conflict.

Divergence in economic foundations

Nowadays agricultural research institutes still follow the planned economic system, while seed enterprises have just entered the market economy. Cooperation between the two parties belonging to totally contrasting economic systems makes it difficult to maintain a balance between competition and profit distribution. Thus, the so-called "industry-university-research cooperation" between the industry and researchers based upon a market orientation and sharing interests and risks are unattainable.

The market economy has so far been the most efficient economic system, and enterprises boost its development by way of science and technology. The developmental experience of the world's developed countries proves that enterprises are the mainstay of the development of the market economy, of technology innovation, and of the formation of independent intellectual property rights. Also, the establishment of an innovation-oriented country and the improvement of independent innovation rely on the support from thousands of innovation-oriented enterprises. For every country, under the current situation of rapid global economic development, the decline of enterprises will inevitably lead to the downfall of the national economy; similarly, the rise of enterprises will certainly boost the national economy.

Table of Contents of Seed China News 1312:
Policy on grain purchasing and subsidy implemented again
Cooperation between seed enterprises and research institutes: undesirable
GM foods rejected by most Chinese
Beidahuang Kenfeng terminates cooperation with SOPO on backdoor listing
Winall Hi-tech to establish three subsidiaries
Oversupply in China's corn seed market and revelations from it
Brief introduction of Guangdong corn seed market
Analysis on corn variety Demeiya
Analysis on China's cotton seed market from industrial chain perspective
Inner Mongolia's grass industry confronted with challenges

Seed China News, a monthly publication issued by CCM at the end of every month, mainly covers a diversity of topics, including market dynamic, company dynamic, crops, seed market, etc. With the latest news in seed industry and in-depth analysis on government direction and market competition, Seed China News can provide you with valid information which would help you make rational decisions in investment, production, marketing, etc.

About CCM
CCM is dedicated to market research in China, Asia-Pacific Rim and global market. With a staff of more than 150 dedicated highly-educated professionals, CCM offers Market Data, Analysis, Reports, Newsletters, Buyer-Trader Information, Import/Export Analysis, and Consultancy Service. 

For more information, please visit http://www.cnchemicals.com.

Guangzhou CCM Information Science & Technology Co., Ltd.
17th Floor, Huihua Commercial & Trade Mansion, No.80 Xianlie Zhong Road, Guangzhou 510070, China
Tel: 86-20-37616606


Tuesday, October 22, 2013

Domestic AlF3 operating rate to increase in Q4 2013

Domestic AlF3 operating rate has continuously decreased for several months, but, it may see a slight increase in Q4 2013.

According to China Fluoride Materials China Monthly Report 1310 issued by CCM, the domestic average ex-works price of dry aluminum fluoride (AlF3) in Sept. 2013 was about USD1,200/t, increasing by 2.39% compared with that in Aug. 2013, when it stood at about USD1,172/t. Actually, the AlF3 price has been increasing for two months since Aug. 2013. The consecutive increase in the domestic AlF3 price was mainly attributed to the fact that AlF3 enterprises' inventory pressure in the two months was much smaller than before and the balance between AlF3 supply and demand began to return to normal level due to the low operating rate.

Domestic AlF3 operating rate kept quite low in 2013, especially in the first three months of H2 2013 when the average overall operating rate of domestic AlF3 enterprises decreased to about 27%. Moreover, some enterprises even suspended their production lines for maintenance. For instance, Do-Fluoride Chemicals Co., Ltd. (Do-Fluoride) suspended its AlF3 production lines from July 16 to Sept. 15, 2013.                                                                                                                                                            

The low operating rate of domestic AlF3 enterprises was mainly attributed to the severe oversupply and constantly decreasing price.

The domestic AlF3 industry saw a severe oversupply in H1 2013. The output of domestic AlF3 in 2012 was about 621,500 tonnes, which has largely exceeded the domestic market demand, about 500,000 tonnes. In 2013, the situation is still not improved. The total output of AlF3 in H1 2013 still exceeded 292,000 tonnes. Moreover, the market demand for AlF3 from its downstream industries, such as electrolytic aluminum, kept stable. In H1 2013, the operating rate of domestic electrolytic aluminum enterprises was lower than 70%, which reduced their purchase of AlF3. Therefore, the abnormal balance between AlF3's supply and demand reduced its operating rate.

In addition, the AlF3 price in China decreased during the period, which was almost close to its production cost and led to losses of most enterprises. The low price made AlF3 enterprises reduce their operating rate so that they can suffer less loss in the difficult situation.

In the last three months of 2013, the average operating rate of domestic AlF3 enterprises may see a slight increase. At present, there are more than 30 AlF3 producers in China, but only about 10 are still in operation. However, the continuously increasing AlF3 price in Aug. and Sept. 2013 will promote the enterprises to resume their production or improve their output to catch the profitable opportunity. Moreover, in the next three months, the AlF3 price may also continually witness a slight increase because of its increasing production cost. The price of fluorite, a raw material of AlF3, accounts for 40% of the production cost of AlF3, may increase in the next three months because the upcoming cold weather in northern China may largely reduce the output of fluorite, raising its price.

Fuan Pharmaceutical to invest in a fluorite mine
Domestic R22 price increases by 3.54% in Sept. 2013
Arkema to build a new plant to produce HFO-1234yf
Shandong Huaan receives USD0.49 million for its R125 project
Domestic AlF3 operating rate to increase in Q4 2013
Electronic grade fluroide producers jointly appeal for adjustments of tax regulations
PTFE suspension medium size particle resin price up by 17.32% in Sept. 2013
New domestic subsidy policy for new energy vehicles to drive demand for LiPF6
Import and export analysis of fluoride chemicals in China in Aug. 2013
Domestic ex-works prices of most fluoride materials in Sept. 2013

China Fluoride Materials Monthly Report, a monthly publication issued by CCM on 20th, covers the sectors on policy & legislation, company dynamic, supply & demand, price update, etc. of China’s fluoride material market. You can keep pace with the latest dynamics through its timely, complete and professional report.

CCM is dedicated to market research in China, Asia-Pacific Rim and global market. With a staff of more than 150 dedicated highly-educated professionals, CCM offers Market Data, Analysis, Reports, Newsletters, Buyer-Trader Information, Import/Export Analysis, and Consultancy Service. 

For more information, please visit http://www.cnchemicals.com.

Guangzhou CCM Information Science & Technology Co., Ltd.
17th Floor, Huihua Commercial & Trade Mansion, No.80 Xianlie Zhong Road, Guangzhou 510070, China
Tel: 86-20-37616606
Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com


Monday, October 21, 2013

China's corn output to reach 215 million tonnes in 2013/2014

According to forecasts from the National Grain & Oils Information Center and the China Food Industry Association, China's corn output may reach 215 million tonnes in 2013/2014, 7 million tonnes more than in 2012/2013. The increase in corn output may result in a decrease in the price of corn. According to CCM's data, the output and the annual market price of corn in China maintained an uptrend during 2009/2010-2012/2013.

Affected by the corn harvest in Oct. 2013, the pressure from imported corn and the depressed corn deep-processing industry, the domestic market is facing an oversupply of corn. 

According to China Customs' data, the average corn import price was USD306.3/t in the first eight months of 2013 in China. It was much lower than China's average market price of corn which was USD380.5/t. During this period, China imported more than 1.6 million tonnes of corn, which was already a relatively large number.

As for the corn deep-processing industry, it saw a downtrend. Xu Jiawan, the manager of the corn purchasing department of Cargill Biochemical (Songyuan) Co., Ltd. (Songyuan Cargill), said that the overall operating rate of the corn deep-processing industry was less than 50%. For instance, the average operating rate of domestic corn starch enterprises was presently as low as about 46%, owing to the oversupply and the weak demand for corn starch from downstream industries. Similarly, the average operating rate of alcohol enterprises is also relatively low.

Liu Xiaoran, deputy Secretary-General of the corn branch of the China Food Industry Association, estimates that domestic corn consumption will be just 197.5 million tonnes in 2013/2014, which is much less than the output of corn.

Due to the oversupply of corn, the market price of corn harvested in autumn may decrease and it may be even lower than the government's corn purchasing price for temporary reserves. Moreover, the overall quality of corn is not as high as before, due to the severe weather this year, which may also suppress the market price of corn.  

Recently, the purchasing prices of corn set by some leading corn deep-processing enterprises in Northeast China have decreased compared with those in 2012. For instance, on Sept. 25, 2013, Changchun Jincheng Corn Development Co., Ltd. (Changchun Jincheng), a subsidiary of Changchun Dacheng Industrial Group Co., Ltd., set its corn purchasing price at USD341.5/t (RMB2,100/t), USD9.8/t (RMB60/t) less than that in 2012. On Sept. 28, Songyuan Cargill set its corn purchasing price as the same as that of Changchun Jincheng, but the price was USD16.3/t (RMB100/t) less than that of last year. These companies' purchasing prices are all below the corn purchasing price for the temporary corn reserves set by the National Development and Reform Commission of China (NDRC).

As early as July 3, 2013, the NDRC announced that China would increase the purchasing price for temporary corn reserves in 2013/2014. The purchasing prices of corn (third-grade of the national standards) will be USD366.3/t (RMB2,260/t), USD366.3/t (RMB2,260/t), USD363.0/t (RMB2,240/t) and USD359.8/t (RMB2,220/t) in Inner Mongolia, Liaoning, Jilin and Heilongjiang (the main corn planting areas in China) respectively, which are all USD19.4/t (RMB120/t) higher than the prices of 2012. (For more details, please refer to Corn Products China News 1307: China increases temporary reserve price of corn in 2013/2014).

Source: Corn Products China News issued by CCM in October.

Table of Contents of Corn Products China News 1310:
China's corn output to reach 215 million tonnes in 2013/2014
Global Sweeteners'net loss increases to USD14.2 million, H1 2013
China's market price of VD3 rebounds sharply, Sept. 2013
China's lowest purchasing price of wheat to rise by RMB120/t in 2014
Low operating rate of soybean crushers relates to tight supply of soybean
Price update of corn products, Oct. 2013
China Agri-Industries' performance of biochemical and bio-fuels segment maintains stable, H1 2013
China's xylitol export value up but price down, Jan.-Aug. 2013
Xiwang Foodstuffs performs well in H1 2013
International and domestic factors together impact China's sucrose price in Q4 2013
Chinese corn products Imp. & Exp., Aug. 2013
Sixth International Corn Industry Conference holds in Nanchang on Sept.
COFCO Corporation to build Guangdong Grain & Oil Industrial Park in Dongguan
Zhaoqing Coruscate's 600,000t/a starch syrup project launches in Chuzhou
Sales revenue from Star Lake Bioscience's feed additives declines by 32.62% YoY, H1 2013
Global Bio-chem suffers gross loss of USD27.63 million, H1 2013


CCM is dedicated to market research in China, Asia-Pacific Rim and global market. With a staff of more than 150 dedicated highly-educated professionals, CCM offers Market Data, Analysis, Reports, Newsletters, Buyer-Trader Information, Import/Export Analysis, and Consultancy Service. 

For more information, please visit http://www.cnchemicals.com.

Guangzhou CCM Information Science & Technology Co., Ltd.
17th Floor, Huihua Commercial & Trade Mansion, No.80 Xianlie Zhong Road, Guangzhou 510070, China
Tel: 86-20-37616606
Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com


Wednesday, August 14, 2013

Corn seed market still enveloped in oversupply nightmare in 2013

In 2013 the domestic corn seed market is experiencing serious oversupply, falling prices, uneven quality of varieties and poor performance by seed companies, according to Seed China News issued by CCM in July 2013.

Oversupply continues

"Both old and new products are experiencing excess inventory," says Tong Pingya, a well-known research expert in the seed industry. "Some new corn varieties, such as Jingke968, Zhongdan909 and Weike702, have excess inventory of more than 40%, or even as high as 60% for individual ones, not to mention the old varieties like Zhengdan958 and Xianyu335." Because of this, seed production bases in Northwest China have cut production this year, especially for old varieties.

Prices decline further
Prices decline further High inventories are pushing seed prices down in 2013 and seed companies have been waging a price war in the seed market, while farmers took a wait-and-see attitude. For example, the retail price of Zhengdan958 seeds for monoseeding marked by seed producers (Beijing Doneed Seed Co., Ltd., Henan Goldoctor Seeds Co., Ltd., Henan Qiule Seed Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd., etc.) is generally USD6.47 (RMB40) or USD7.28 (RMB45) per bag (around 5,000 grains), but the selling price decreased to below USD4.85 (RMB30) per bag in some regional markets early this year.

The deluge of infringing seeds (counterfeit seeds, seeds that are bred without authorization, ect.) has further depressed the prices. For instance, the selling of the bulk seeds of Zhengdan958 and Xianyu355 is quite prevalent in some regional markets, and Zhengdan958 and Xianyu355 bulk seed prices sell for USD2.59/kg (RMB16/kg) or lower. However, it is illegal to sell seeds in bulk in China without packaging (except tubers and seedlings that are not suitable for packaging), in accordance with China's Seed Law.

Uneven quality of varieties
Although a number of new corn varieties win the provincial or national approval each year, few can really surpass the currently leading varieties like Zhengdan958, Xianyu335 and Xundan20. It is reported that there are over 1,000 corn varieties in the domestic corn seed market in 2013, most of which are just spurious products imitating the leading varieties. Actually, the planting of most other corn varieties is small and scattered, usually with respective planting area below 30,000 ha., compared with 2 million ha. of planting area of each leading variety. Actually, many of those small varieties without prominent advantages are not competitive in the market and will be easily eliminated in a short time.

Companies face underperformance
Faced with oversupply, most corn seed companies are not optimistic about their performance in 2013. For those lacking promising varieties, the circumstance is even worse. It is the same with those large seed companies. For instance, Beijing Doneed Seed Co., Ltd. (Beijing Doneed), the core subsidiary of listed Wanxiang Doneed Co., Ltd., had declining performance in H1 2013 following a lackluster in 2012. The company continues to rely heavily on an old seed variety, Zhengdan958, which has further hurt performance, coupled with the deluge of infringing seeds. Gansu Dunhuang Seed Co., Ltd. (Gansu Dunhuang) will also fare poorly due mainly to shrinking sales of Xianyu335, the largest contributor to company profits.

Some companies in possession of promising varieties may still fare well. Shandong Denghai Seeds Co., Ltd. (Shandong Denghai), an R&D-focused corn seed company, has been promoting proprietary varieties such as Denghai605 and Denghai618, gradually reducing its reliance on Xianyu335. Shandong Denghai forecasts a 80%~130% YoY growth in net profits in H1 2013.

With increasing oversupply and high inventories, a number of producers have cut production, especially those less competitive companies. Some companies are also trying to clear inventory by selling at cut-rate prices. In this case the pressure from high inventory would be somewhat alleviated next year.

Table Contents of Seed China News 1307:
Vegetable seed companies in need of policy support
Mulch film causes increasing troubles to China's agriculture
Corn seed market still enveloped in oversupply nightmare in 2013
S&W Seed to conduct dormant alfalfa variety hay trials in China
Hybrid rice seeds trapped in excess supply
Longping High-tech to take full control of three key subsidiaries
Hefei Fengle resumes its real estate business
Wheat yields decrease sharply in some parts of Henan
GM rice taste tests held in China
Highland Barley 2000 expected to boost Tibet's grain output
Xi'an Jinpeng vigorously promoting Jinpeng8, an anti-TYLCV pink tomato variety
China's soybean import in H1 2013 sees 5% YoY decline
Winall Hi-tech forecasts a performance loss in H1 2013

About CCM
CCM is dedicated to market research in China, Asia-Pacific Rim and global market. With a staff of more than 150 dedicated highly-educated professionals, CCM offers Market Data, Analysis, Reports, Newsletters, Buyer-Trader Information, Import/Export Analysis, and Consultancy Service. 

For more information, please visit http://www.cnchemicals.com.

Guangzhou CCM Information Science & Technology Co., Ltd.
17th Floor, Huihua Commercial & Trade Mansion, No.80 Xianlie Zhong Road, Guangzhou 510070, China
Tel: 86-20-37616606

Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com